Will flight EI0611 from AMS to DUB be canceled?
5
1kṀ7066
resolved Jan 6
100%98.7%
EI0611 is canceled or departs past midnight (AMS time)
0.6%
EI0611 departs within 59 minutes of scheduled time
0.8%
EU0611 departs with a delay of 60 minutes or more

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on the actual departure time of flight EI0611 from Amsterdam Schiphol (AMS) to Dublin (DUB) today. Resolution will be determined using my lived experience (I have a ticket for this flight).

Background

EI0611 is an Aer Lingus flight from Amsterdam to Dublin with a scheduled departure of 20:35 (AMS time) The flight has an on-time rate of 60% (or the LLM hallucinated this, I did not check).

Further context is that trains and airports in the Netherlands are completely fucked right now because of the weather.

  • Update 2026-01-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator received a text announcing the flight cancellation. The market will remain open and resolve at midnight (or possibly earlier if the flight is uncanceled, which is considered unlikely).

Market context
Travel
Air travel
Airline Industry
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Cancelled according to Flightradar24

I got a text announcing cancellation. I'll leave it open and resolve at midnight (orpossibly earlier if they decide to uncancel, which seems rather unlikely).

This Meteoalarm site gives a European overview of weather alerts. You can see the official weather alerts expected at different hours. Then you can follow the links for the official announcements at each country.

https://meteoalarm.org/en/live/?t=day0


I haven't checked whether there is something relevant for your flight.

Airport info link for this flight: https://www.schiphol.nl/en/departures/flight/D20260105EI611/

bought Ṁ200 NO

https://www.schiphol.nl/en/messages/limited-number-of-flights-to-and-from-schiphol-due-to-winter-weather/

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