If the US government shuts down on Oct 1, will it "not reopen in its current form"?
16
100Ṁ1281
resolved Nov 21
Resolved
NO

cf. Laura Jedeed on Bluesky.

She clarifies her meaning in a reply: "[The form it would reopen as would be] a more explicitly authoritarian one."

This market resolves N/A if there is no shutdown. Otherwise, this market resolves to my best assessment of whether Laura's prediction was correct. I like her writing, so I'll probably take her self-assessment (if any) into consideration, but I don't intend to defer to her absolutely.

I will not bet in this market.

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