MANIFOLD
If the US government shuts down on Oct 1, will it "not reopen in its current form"?
16
Ṁ100Ṁ1.3k
resolved Nov 21
Resolved
NO

cf. Laura Jedeed on Bluesky.

She clarifies her meaning in a reply: "[The form it would reopen as would be] a more explicitly authoritarian one."

This market resolves N/A if there is no shutdown. Otherwise, this market resolves to my best assessment of whether Laura's prediction was correct. I like her writing, so I'll probably take her self-assessment (if any) into consideration, but I don't intend to defer to her absolutely.

I will not bet in this market.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ61
2Ṁ37
3Ṁ20
4Ṁ20
5Ṁ18
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy