Will the temperature in Toronto, Canada be above freezing for the majority of Jan 2023?
6
4
Ṁ188Ṁ130
resolved Feb 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
It has been an unseasonably warm winter for Toronto, Canada, so much so that as of Jan 6th, every day this month has been above freezing.
This market will resolve Yes if the majority of the days in January in Toronto, Canada have an average temperature that is above freezing.
weatherspark.com will be used as the source of ground truth.
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Here is a spreadsheet going through the daily chart for each day in January, checking whether a majority of the hours in that day were spent above freezing. Only 12/31 days had a majority of their hours spent above freezing. Therefore the market resolves to No.