Did the US suicide rate increase in 2022?
17
closes Jan 1
92%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ10 +8%
New probability
92%
The rate in 2021 was 14.0 per 100k, this market will resolve Yes if the rate in 2022 as reported by the CDC is higher than that.
https://www.tfah.org/article/new-cdc-data-shows-4-percent-rise-in-suicides-in-2021
The report with the official numbers will likely be released in late 2022, so the market has a resolution date of 2023 to provide a buffer. The market will resolve whenever the report comes out.
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Jai D (Jai)bought Ṁ250 of YES
Provisional statistics say yes: https://www.cdc.gov/suicide/suicide-data-statistics.html. 2.6% increase versus 0.4% population growth.
(US Population growth: https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2022/2022-population-estimates.html)
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