Did the US suicide rate increase in 2022?
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Jon Simon
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closes Jan 1
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The rate in 2021 was 14.0 per 100k, this market will resolve Yes if the rate in 2022 as reported by the CDC is higher than that.

https://www.tfah.org/article/new-cdc-data-shows-4-percent-rise-in-suicides-in-2021

The report with the official numbers will likely be released in late 2022, so the market has a resolution date of 2023 to provide a buffer. The market will resolve whenever the report comes out.

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Jai avatar
Jai D (Jai)bought Ṁ250 of YES

Provisional statistics say yes: https://www.cdc.gov/suicide/suicide-data-statistics.html. 2.6% increase versus 0.4% population growth.

(US Population growth: https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2022/2022-population-estimates.html)

Suicide Data and Statistics | Suicide | CDCCenters for Disease Control and Prevention. CDC twenty four seven. Saving Lives, Protecting PeopleMinusSASstats
Suicide rates increased 36% between 2000-2018 and declined 5% between 2018-2020. In 2021, suicide rates returned to the peak rate after declining for 2 years.