AI voice synthesis will be used to fabricate dirt on a political opponent in the 2024 US presidential election

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AI voice synthesis is getting good https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-9Ado8D3A-w&feature=youtu.be

Will someone use this technology to create a fake recording of a politician saying something inflammatory, where the opposing party then points to this audio as supposed evidence of wrongdoing?

For this market to resolve Yes, one party (or some extension of the party, such as a politically-aligned news organization) must attempt to use the fabricated audio to damage the opponent's political prospects. It is not sufficient for the audio to simply exist. For example the USPresidentsPlay youtube series would not count because no one is treating the audio as credible.

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US Politics

Technology

2024 US Presidential Election

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@jonsimon Resolve please?

predictedNO

Does “political opponent” mean “someone you don’t like politically” or “someone you are running against”? Very likely lay people will try to do this, but doubtful that the official Dem or Rep campaign will

predictedNO

@JimHays It doesn't have to be directly manufactured by the Democratic/Republican party, but it does have to be picked up by them and used to try to sully the opponent. It can't just be something off on the side that some lay person makes that withers away in isolation on some corner of the internet without anyone paying attention to it.

What is the catch?

@FranklinBaldo What do you mean? The technology is getting good enough that I think the changes are realistic that one party tries to manufacture a pussygate-esque scandal tape to sink their opponent