Will Vaush leave his house in 2023? | Manifold

Will Vaush leave his house in 2023?

13

closes Jan 1

96%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Vaush is known for refusing to go canvassing and rarely attending political shows/events because he uses his autism as an excuse to be a lazy piece of shit. If he leaves his basement and does anything politics related outside his room, this market will resolve as Yes. Examples include him going on Tim Pool's show IRL, being at a political convention, having an in-person debate at a political event such as Better Discourse etc.

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Aghbought Ṁ10 of YES

Agh sold Ṁ9 NO from 95% to 96%

duN created limit order for Ṁ100 YES at 90%

Agh bought Ṁ10 NO at 95%

duN filled limit order Ṁ300/Ṁ300 YES at 95%

Revel bought Ṁ10 NO from 95% to 93%

duN bought Ṁ200 YES from 93% to 95%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 NO at 93% (cancelled) 🤖

duN bought Ṁ300 YES from 91% to 95%

Punished Furry bought Ṁ300 YES from 80% to 91%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ53/Ṁ100 NO at 80% (cancelled) 🤖

Punished Furry bought Ṁ600 YES from 54% to 93%

Agh sold Ṁ1 YES at 54%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ6 NO at 54% (cancelled) 🤖

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ100 NO at 55% (cancelled) 🤖

DAVE ALLCAPS sold Ṁ35 NO from 50% to 59%

duN bought Ṁ4 YES from 49% to 50%

duN bought Ṁ5 YES from 48% to 49%

Agh sold Ṁ5 YES from 50% to 48%

Agh sold Ṁ7 YES from 51% to 50%

Rasmus 🍕 sold Ṁ46 YES from 61% to 51%

Rasmus 🍕 sold Ṁ31 YES from 66% to 61%

Shah sold Ṁ58 NO from 50% to 66%

Rasmus 🍕 created limit order for Ṁ100 YES at 5%

Rasmus 🍕 created limit order for Ṁ50 YES at 20%

Rasmus 🍕 created limit order for Ṁ25 YES at 35%

Agh sold Ṁ15 YES from 54% to 50%

Chelos sold Ṁ4 YES from 55% to 54%

Chelos bought Ṁ4 YES from 54% to 55% 🤖

Eliener Unowkysy bought Ṁ1 NO at 54%

Agh bought Ṁ10 YES from 51% to 54%

Agh bought Ṁ10 YES from 48% to 51%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 62% (cancelled)

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 28%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 55% (cancelled)

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 34%

Agh bought Ṁ10 YES from 44% to 48%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ9 YES at 44% (cancelled)

DAVE ALLCAPS bought Ṁ10 NO from 44% to 40%

DAVE ALLCAPS bought Ṁ10 NO from 49% to 44%

DAVE ALLCAPS bought Ṁ10 NO from 54% to 49%

DAVE ALLCAPS bought Ṁ10 NO from 59% to 54%

Shah bought Ṁ5 NO from 62% to 59%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 NO at 62% (cancelled)

Rasmus 🍕 bought Ṁ50 YES from 46% to 66%

Shah bought Ṁ5 NO from 48% to 46%

Shah bought Ṁ20 NO from 59% to 48%

Shah bought Ṁ10 NO from 64% to 59%

Shah bought Ṁ15 NO from 75% to 64%

Rasmus 🍕 bought Ṁ30 YES from 63% to 75%

Punished Furry bought Ṁ10 YES from 55% to 63%

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