Vaush is known for refusing to go canvassing and rarely attending political shows/events because he uses his autism as an excuse to be a lazy piece of shit. If he leaves his basement and does anything politics related outside his room, this market will resolve as Yes. Examples include him going on Tim Pool's show IRL, being at a political convention, having an in-person debate at a political event such as Better Discourse etc.
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predicted YES
https://twitter.com/itschaeiry/status/1707209110456832290/photo/1 he has physically left his house. Now to see if he mentally has, to resolve the rest of the criteria