Will China send lethal weapons specific for warfare/combat to Russia in their Ukraine invasion by the end of 2023?
Will China send lethal weapons specific for warfare/combat to Russia in their Ukraine invasion by the end of 2023?
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Dual use equipment (commercial items that could also be used on the battlefield) DOES NOT COUNT. It has to be weapons specifically used for the battlefield.
https://www.politico.eu/article/chinese-companies-are-shipping-rifles-body-armor-to-russia/amp/
Per the article, China sent hunting rifles to Russia in 2022, which is sort of a grey zone since hunting rifles are considered dual use equipment. Will China ramp up and start sending actual weapons designed for combat?
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@johnleoks Whether these weapons are dual use or warfare specific remains to be seen.
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What is Manifold?
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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