
Will any Chinese or Russian official refer to Moscow's intervention in Ukraine as an "invasion" by the end of 2023?
25
510Ṁ2033resolved Jan 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
So far, Russia and its allies have consistently referred to the Ukraine-Russia war as a "special military operation".
We will go by mainstream media reporting such as CNN, Fox, Reuters, New York Times, Washington Post, The Guardian etc.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ145 | |
2 | Ṁ56 | |
3 | Ṁ43 | |
4 | Ṁ37 | |
5 | Ṁ34 |
Sort by:
Going all the way to "invasion" seems to require a considerable break of Russian-Chinese diplomatic alignment, or something drastic (coup, pre-coup power decay, ??surprise glasnost??) in Russia. Is the spirit of the question more about that, or about ~accidental divergence of individual speakers from the party line, or about them mincing words less and calling it "war", or something else?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will manifold users start referring to "Russia's invasion" instead of using the dumb phrase "war in Ukraine" this year?
12% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2025?
5% chance
[Metaculus] Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
28% chance
What is more likely to happen in the russian invasion of Ukraine by 2027
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?
13% chance
Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops (other than Ukrainian, >10000) before 2060?
20% chance