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MANIFOLD
Donald Trump has been charged with 34 felony counts in his NY court case. How many of them will he be convicted of?
16
Ṁ700Ṁ527
resolved Aug 3
100%10%
31-34
72%
0-5
8%
6-10
6%
11-15
0.9%
16-20
3%
21-25
1.4%
26-30

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Shouldn't this question be resolved by now? Didn't it close 2/1?

I think the counts are basically all the same, just a count for each of the payment installments. So it's likely all or none.

I think this market would benefit from seperate answers for "0" and "34" rather than including them in ranges.

@lisamarsh Agreed! Further, the biggest jump is from 0 to 1. If he's convicted of 1 charge, each additional conviction probably won't have much marginal impact or significance.

@akrasiac Shameless plug, I've got a market for the 0 to 1 jump here: