Destiny said that so far 260 ppl have signed up for the Georgia canvassing event. Since ppl are still signing up, do you think there will be at least 275 canvassers present in Georgia?
75%
chance
People are still signing up so the odds of having 275 canvassers is decent.
On the other hand, based on the last canvassing operation, people will drop out/no show last minute so total sign up number will be lower than the actual number of people who end up showing up.
Market resolves when Destiny or Sejin (main organizer) reveals on stream or in chat the total number of canvassers present in Georgia.
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Destiny thinks around 300 ppl are showing up to canvass. Hmm maybe time to buy more YES shares?
YES shares
805
788
404
302
230
127
101
100
92
69
23
19
18
NO shares
1572
189
166
121
29
25
18
Destiny said that so far 260 ppl have signed up for the Georgia canvassing event. Since ppl are still signing up, do you think there will be at least 275 canvassers present in Georgia?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition