Will I feel better in a week?
11
100Ṁ125
Aug 1
61%
chance
12

I got a sore throat on 15 July. I believe I had the flu, but I still had a cough and aches as of market creation on 25 July, ten days after the first symptoms. Doc thinks it may have been viral but turned bacterial some point, so he prescribed me an antibiotic (2x daily) and an inhaler for cough relief as needed. He said if I don’t see good improvement in 5–7 days, then I should go back for another visit.

I plan to use both medications as prescribed.

This market resolves YES if I’m feeling better enough to not schedule a follow-up appointment.

This market resolves NO if I attempt to schedule a follow-up appointment before 2 August, or otherwise find myself in the hospital for respiratory issues before then, God forbid.

  • Update 2025-07-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Hospitalizations for markedly unrelated respiratory issues will result in this market resolving to N/A.

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I hope you feel better soon!

Being pedantic here, but I’m assuming going to the hospital for respiratory issues would require them to be related to the illness? (Eg smoke inhalation from a house fire would not count)

@GleamingRhino Why are we on Manifold but for pedantry?

Yeah, hospitalizations with markedly unrelated causes will result in N/A.

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