Will Tokyo get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
Will Tokyo get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
9
190Ṁ3662030
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Apr 18, 7:52pm: Will a city in Japan get a Major League Baseball team before 2030? → Will Tokyo get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
This market resolves YES after the MLB officially announces that a team will be based in Tokyo and that team plays a home game. Only the official announcement needs to occur before 1 January 2030; the home game may occur after 1 January 2030.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
[MLB Commissioner] would be disappointed if A’s Las Vegas ballpark not open by 2028, skeptical of Olympics
"Manfred said a decision to expand to 32 teams could be made within five years but the new teams wouldn’t start play until 2029 at the earliest."
https://apnews.com/article/mlb-owners-as-olympics-eb8546d78d9b556488d4748395dbf584
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Mexico City get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
23% chance
Will Portland get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
15% chance
Will Nashville get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
60% chance
Will San Juan get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
29% chance
Will Las Vegas get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
96% chance
Will New Orleans get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
17% chance
Will San Antonio get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
32% chance
What cities that do not have a Major League Baseball team in 2024* will get an MLB team before 2032?
Will Charlotte get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
36% chance
Will Salt Lake City get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
29% chance