Basic
30
á¹€3.6k
2026
59%
chance

Will it be confirmed that a second person was hit by the same bullet that hit Donald Trump as part of the attempted assassination on 13 July 2024?

Resolves NO if the available information remains inconclusive by 1 January 2026.

I will not bet in this market.

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found another angle

bought á¹€100 NO

It's somewhat likely this could have happened, but since the wording of the market was that it needs to be confirmed, I think that is quite unlikely

I agree. Confirmation is less likely than the event itself.

What might be an alternate wording?

I think the wording is fine. I'm just betting on the fact that it will be hard to know if someone got hit by the same bullet.

yeah I’m curious if the FBI would have to include that in their final report or if there’s any way it can be confirmed after they conclude their investigation (just by end of 25)

opened a á¹€50 YES at 18% order

in the process of stitching together a bunch of angles and just found one angle that kinda looks like the first bullet struck a rally goer, and im pretty sure its confirmed trump got hit with the first bullet, will comment what i find

sheesh that took a while

I think there’s a chance the man in the white shirt, red hat, who leans over before everyone else reacts (right side of image below), is hit by the first shot which also hit Trump’s ear.

He definitely moves down before everyone else and he’s roughly in line with the trajectory, as far as I can tell.

that pic is wild...

i think the man it may have been is also wearing white shorts

he actually falls down a millisecond before trump grabbed his ear, which would be consistent with the story that the incident caused 2 critical injuries

(i dont think this guy died)