YES if, by November 16, 2026 at 1pm Pacific, the FAA, DOT, CISA or FBI confirms that a cyberattack materially enabled or carried out by AI caused the November 13 nationwide ground stop, or Reuters/AP reports that investigators reached that finding. Otherwise NO.
An ordinary AI-system malfunction, speculation, or a cyberattack with no confirmed AI involvement does not count.
1,000This is a poor proxy for "is this an AI-assisted hack" because it must be resolved within 3 days. Even if it is, finding that out or announcing it could take longer than 3 days. I opened a similar market, for whether it's a cyberattack at all (assumption is if it is, it's probably AI-assisted, but we might not have confirmation of that) that lasts until EOY: /moisy/will-todays-faa-ground-stop-to-be-c