will people still mostly use AI through a textbox on a website/app in August 2027?
44
1kṀ5864
2027
69%
chance

if it seems at all plausibly true that people do still mostly use AI through textboxes on websites, this will resolve YES

  • Update 2025-08-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Apps count as “websites” for this market.

    • Using AI via a textbox within an app (e.g., Meta apps, ChatGPT mobile app) qualifies toward a YES.

  • Update 2025-08-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Realtime spoken dialogue with an AI (voice back-and-forth) counts as NO.

    • Dictating into a textbox, pressing send, and reading a written response counts as YES (slightly edgy).

    • Back-and-forth using speech-to-text input and text-to-speech output counts as NO.

  • Update 2025-08-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Interacting with AI via Slack does NOT count toward 'textbox on a website' usage.

  • Update 2025-08-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - OS-built-in assistants do not count toward "textbox on a website" usage.

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Does interacting with AI via a medium like Slack count?

Is it only about input or does output matter? What if you write into a textbox but get as output not (only) a textbox, but voice, images, robot actions, documents, etc. Also what about 'assistant built into OS', does it count?

@Tulu the question is trying to operationalise whether the way we interact with LLMs will change significantly from the current chatgpt.com way. So, to the extent that chatgpt.com already does the things you mentioned I would lean YES, to the extent it doesn't I would lean NO.

Assistant built into OS would not count.

Back-and-forth realtime spoken dialogue with an AI feels like a clear NO. But what about the halfway variants? Dictating into a chatbox, pressing send, reading written response—YES? Or a back-and-forth that is clearly doing speech-to-text input and text-to-speech output?

@TannerNewell

Back-and-forth realtime spoken dialogue with an AI feels like a clear NO

correct

Dictating into a chatbox, pressing send, reading written response—YES?

correct although it's slightly edgy

Or a back-and-forth that is clearly doing speech-to-text input and text-to-speech output?

resolves NO

bought Ṁ25 YES

Do apps count as websites? I.e., Meta apps, ChatGPT mobile app

if this is clarified i may be willing to bet a lot more @jim

@SCS yeah it counts 🥰

filled a Ṁ50 NO at 39% order

Voice interface is already pretty nice, and it should get much better.

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