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MANIFOLD
Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29
9
Ṁ5.1kṀ21k
2028
20%
chance

Info: jim fund won't be spending more than 100k and will use a buy-and-hold strategy (we just buy stuff thru brokerage we're not investing in start ups or anything), so question is pretty much whether jim fund gets >20,000% ROI by Jan1'29

more info will come out in a couple years but i make this market now in case anyone wants to bet without knowing what we buying

Resolves by @Joshua (YES if jim provides appropriate evidences, NO otherwise)

  • Update 2025-12-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market may resolve YES early (before the stated date of Jan 1, 2029) if Jim Fund's assets go well beyond $20 million.

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expect to be there in next 6 months

Thinking I will resolve this YES if Jimfund goes well beyond 20 million even if its before the stated date

Depending on how u look at it, we're on track.

I mean, if anyone other than jim looked at it they'd say we were not on track.

But we're on track.

opened a Ṁ25,000 NO at 40% order

you can make 150% of that 20,000% by betting YES on this market and filling my jimit order @jim

opened a Ṁ481 YES at 20% order

@Bayesian fill me at market price

Conditioning on this resolving YES, how much would you estimate the S&P500 will be up over the same stretch? how much of the post AGI gainz will be distributed among the S&P500?

@Ziddletwix will get back 2u

@Ziddletwix up 200%

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