test market
27
420Ṁ24k
resolved Apr 22
Resolved
YES

if it ever happens, may resolve YES after some delay to preserve privacy

pretty much any sexual activity with another person would qualify as sex (must be consensual)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ12,462
2Ṁ758
3Ṁ663
4Ṁ582
5Ṁ479
Sort by:

Congrats :)

I don't have to actually have a good time for this market to resolve YES

I hope you did have a good time, but if not I hope it at least satisfied curiosity or similar

yes

LOL

soldṀ537NO

@jim congratulations 🎉

boughtṀ300YES

@RanaG insider trading or just wild vibes based speculation?

Insider info. My actual p is 90% now by 2028. But I'm discounting unknown unknowns, so will grow my position slowly.

bought Ṁ50 YES

Already got a professional haircut and with a 58% chance to make it to masters? This market is criminally underpriced.

bought Ṁ100 NO

It's kind of his aversion that's the problem

it's so weird remembering this market exists after meeting him in person. Jim IRL seems like a completely different dude!

Could you elaborate?

he's a chill dude with focused interests. has lived a different life from normal but it doesn't show outwardly

can't believe @jim and I didn't interact at all! 🥺

bought Ṁ15 YES

@jim could be one of my pets. he thinks he's ace because he hangs around normies too much, and they're all unimpressive.

@RanaG buying YES is just incentivising me not to

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@jim kind of

Rana G soldṀ0YES

@jim why

@RanaG i get a bigger no position

@jim this market should not be endogenous to the outcome

@RanaG why not

@RanaG Hmmm yeah if he's saying he can be incentivized it sounds like his preferences weren't that certain to begin with.

Seems bullish

@Joshua I think a YES resolution is possible given

(1) the definition of sex is pretty wide

(2) I don't have to actually have a good time for this market to resolve YES (although, to be clear, it must be consensual)

(3) 2028 is a longish time away

But me having a big NO position would definitely make it less likely 😆

Maybe I should stop trading on the market.

@jim you have almost four years, which is longer than the span of time between me deciding I was ace and having sex.

Comment hidden
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy