@RanaG insider trading or just wild vibes based speculation?

Insider info. My actual p is 90% now by 2028. But I'm discounting unknown unknowns, so will grow my position slowly.

Already got a professional haircut and with a 58% chance to make it to masters? This market is criminally underpriced.

It's kind of his aversion that's the problem

it's so weird remembering this market exists after meeting him in person. Jim IRL seems like a completely different dude!

Could you elaborate?

he's a chill dude with focused interests. has lived a different life from normal but it doesn't show outwardly

can't believe @jim and I didn't interact at all! 🥺

@jim could be one of my pets. he thinks he's ace because he hangs around normies too much, and they're all unimpressive.

@RanaG buying YES is just incentivising me not to

@jim kind of

@jim why

@RanaG i get a bigger no position

@jim this market should not be endogenous to the outcome

@RanaG why not

@RanaG Hmmm yeah if he's saying he can be incentivized it sounds like his preferences weren't that certain to begin with.

Seems bullish

@Joshua I think a YES resolution is possible given

(1) the definition of sex is pretty wide

(2) I don't have to actually have a good time for this market to resolve YES (although, to be clear, it must be consensual)

(3) 2028 is a longish time away

But me having a big NO position would definitely make it less likely 😆

Maybe I should stop trading on the market.

@jim you have almost four years, which is longer than the span of time between me deciding I was ace and having sex.