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MANIFOLD
Will GPT-4's successor be released within 24 hours?
14
Ṁ270Ṁ16k
resolved Feb 19
Resolved
NO

Needs to be accessible by members of the public. Can be behind a paywall. Can be wait-listed as long as some people not affiliated with OpenAI at all have access to it.

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bought Ṁ20 YES

gpt4 turbo, the successor to gpt4 is already release so, YES

@sco mega logic fail

@jim elucidate

@sco GPT-4 Turbo is GPT-4, as indicated by the string "GPT-4" in its name. Therefore, it is not the successor to GPT-4. Further, the denotation of the word "will" precludes a thing that happened in the past. See also "released within 24 hours".

@jim "will it be released", yes it's status is still released. GPT4 was succeeded by GPT4-turbo.

@sco OK, to adjudication we go. I have created a thread on the Discord in the Market Discuss tab.

@jim I hope there is some dispensation or consideration if for example one of the participants was interdimensionally high.

@jim You can just declare that it doesn't count, and @sco can request mod intervention if they think the market was misresolved. Such intervention is unlikely IMHO, market creators are not usually held to alternative* interpretations of their criteria when what they meant is pretty clear from context. There is no need to overthink it.

(*I say "alternative interpretations" instead of "literal interpretations" because it's rare for the interpretations people are arguing about to actually fit neatly along a line of "less literal" to "more literal" despite people's claims to the contrary, and even when they do you can usually get more literal still)