Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026? | Manifold

Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?

12

100Ṁ464

2026

9%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if Google Gemini ranks above ChatGPT in US Top Free Apps: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36
at EOY 2026.

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there is literally no way anyone ever catches up to chatgpt ever (/exaggerated)

this unprofessional looking graph dubiously disagrees with you!

@Bayesian but I agree with you, because Gemini use is mostly through other apps / built into the OS

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