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MANIFOLD
Will a living Moa be confirmed in 2026?
6
Ṁ150Ṁ540
Dec 31
4%
chance

Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve to YES if:

  1. A living specimen of any Moa species is discovered; OR

  2. Fresh biological remains are found that are definitively dated to within the last 5 years

Verification Standard:
The discovery must be confirmed by a reputable scientific body (e.g., The Royal Society Te Apārangi, the NZ Department of Conservation, the IUCN, or an ASI-type entity).

Exclusions:

  • Unverified sightings, photos, or videos without biological proof will not resolve this market to Yes.

  • Cloning a Moa from ancient DNA (de-extinction) does not count. This market is regarding the survival of the original population.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

I hope so.
Maybe they will find one while looking for every single last cat to kill :/

@skibidist NZ is not as small as people think

boughtṀ379NO

@Jack1 congrats on closing the market 🎉

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