Which of the following will occur before Manifold's Daily Streak Ironman concludes?
Plus
15
Ṁ46532026
82%
Jimmy Carter passes away
80%
Nintendo’s successor to the Switch is sold in the US
78%
GPT-next is released (OpenAI's next frontier model)
50%
GTA VI is released (for North American consoles)
45%
Ammon pays at least the third place amount to all contestants
39%
Ammon requests a required bet amount (1-3 Mana)
39%
Apple releases a phone with a folding screen
39%
Apple releases a smart ring
27%
AGI is achieved (resolves according to Manifold's 'AGI when?' market)
20%
Manifold announce that they are going to go defunct
18%
China invades Taiwan
14%
@snazzlePop sustains a major injury or dies while climbing a mountain
5%
A room temperature superconductor is discovered (and confirmed)
The Daily Streak Ironman can be found here:
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/which-candidate-would-last-the-long?r=amlt
Participants must trade at least once every 36 hours or they are eliminated from the competition. There were 12 to begin with, now after almost half a year only 3 remain.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
AGI is achieved (resolves according to Manifold's 'AGI when?' market)
Related questions
Related questions
[Daily Streak Ironman] Which candidate would last the longest? [40000 Mana prize]
To Ammon’s discretion, will the Daily Streak Ironman end because of a Manifold outage?
22% chance
How many days will the winner of the Daily Streak Ironman last?
Will Manifold change daily streak rewards again before 2025?
45% chance
What will be true about the Manifold Oldschool Runescape Group Ironman? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will my current streak on Manifold reach 2 years?
75% chance
What number streak will I get to on Manifold?
Will any Manifold user ever hit a streak of 1000?
85% chance
Will I extend my active daily streak here on manifold to 1,000 days?
53% chance
How will Manifold die?