Which of the following will occur before Manifold's Daily Streak Ironman concludes?
23
1.8kṀ20kresolved Mar 2
Resolved
YESJimmy Carter passes away
Resolved
YESGPT-next is released (OpenAI's next frontier model)
Resolved
NOAGI is achieved (resolves according to Manifold's 'AGI when?' market)
Resolved
NOChina invades Taiwan
Resolved
NOA room temperature superconductor is discovered (and confirmed)
Resolved
NOManifold announce that they are going to go defunct
Resolved
NO@snazzlePop sustains a major injury or dies while climbing a mountain
Resolved
NOAmmon requests a required bet amount (1-3 Mana)
Resolved
NOGTA VI is released (for North American consoles)
Resolved
NOApple releases a phone with a folding screen
Resolved
NOApple releases a smart ring
Resolved
NONintendo’s successor to the Switch is sold in the US
Resolved
NOAmmon pays at least the third place amount to all contestants
The Daily Streak Ironman can be found here:
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/which-candidate-would-last-the-long?r=amlt
Participants must trade at least once every 36 hours or they are eliminated from the competition. There were 12 to begin with, now after almost half a year only 3 remain.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
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| 1 | Ṁ1,866 | |
| 2 | Ṁ404 | |
| 3 | Ṁ238 | |
| 4 | Ṁ212 | |
| 5 | Ṁ74 |
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