Which of the following will occur before Manifold's Daily Streak Ironman concludes?
23
1.8kṀ20k
resolved Mar 2
Resolved
YES
Jimmy Carter passes away
Resolved
YES
GPT-next is released (OpenAI's next frontier model)
Resolved
NO
AGI is achieved (resolves according to Manifold's 'AGI when?' market)
Resolved
NO
China invades Taiwan
Resolved
NO
A room temperature superconductor is discovered (and confirmed)
Resolved
NO
Manifold announce that they are going to go defunct
Resolved
NO
@snazzlePop sustains a major injury or dies while climbing a mountain
Resolved
NO
Ammon requests a required bet amount (1-3 Mana)
Resolved
NO
GTA VI is released (for North American consoles)
Resolved
NO
Apple releases a phone with a folding screen
Resolved
NO
Apple releases a smart ring
Resolved
NO
Nintendo’s successor to the Switch is sold in the US
Resolved
NO
Ammon pays at least the third place amount to all contestants

The Daily Streak Ironman can be found here:

https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/which-candidate-would-last-the-long?r=amlt

Participants must trade at least once every 36 hours or they are eliminated from the competition. There were 12 to begin with, now after almost half a year only 3 remain.

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bought Ṁ75 NO

@jim Remaining options resolve 'No'

Movie gif. Kronk from the Emperor's New Groove looks at us and says, "Mission accomplished," with a satisfied look on his face.

bought Ṁ550 YES

@snazzlePop i resolved one of them YES

Heck, did my hubris get the best of me?

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