Is Extropic AI a scam company?

MANIFOLD

resolved May 29

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yes

Please just make your best guess!

Market context

Technology

Extropic AI

superconductivity

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When will Extropic AI ship a product?

Will Extropic AI be worth at least $100 million before 2028?

16% chance

Will Extropic AI ever have more than 100m revenue in a year through mid 2029?

6% chance

Will Extropic AI demonstrate a working thermo-chip by 2050?

80% chance

Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?

11% chance

Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?

33% chance

Will Extropic be worth $1 Billion before 2030? 🦄

20% chance

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Yes voters, is there a (not too convoluted) way to financially benefit from this belief?

@CamillePerrin no

@CamillePerrin there will be after the pivot, one can come up with a market on it

@CamillePerrin here:

https://manifold.markets/Mira/what-is-extropic-ais-first-product?r=amlt

People are also trading

When will Extropic AI ship a product?

Will Extropic AI be worth at least $100 million before 2028?

16% chance

Will Extropic AI ever have more than 100m revenue in a year through mid 2029?

6% chance

Will Extropic AI demonstrate a working thermo-chip by 2050?

80% chance

Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?

11% chance

Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?

33% chance

Will Extropic be worth $1 Billion before 2030? 🦄

20% chance

People are also trading

People are also trading

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