How many years from 13/03/2025 until ASI?
7
1kṀ414
2030
11.9 years
expected
8%
0 - 2
20%
3 - 5
21%
6 - 8
8%
9 - 11
8%
12 - 14
8%
15 - 17
8%
18 - 20
21%
Above 20

While I can't think of any single criterion for this market, I believe we'll know ASI when we see it. Human labour will have almost entirely obsolesced, AI will be conquering the stars, the rate and scope of science will have increased beyond our comprehension, etc.

Market created on 12/03/2025.

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