GPT-5 Livestream Mega-Market
53
2.6kṀ29kAug 8
81%
GPT-5 taking longer than initially expected is acknowledged
25%
GPT-5 makes a mistake during a demonstration
Resolved
YESGPT-5 begins rolling out during the stream
Resolved
YESThe words "AGI" or "artificial general intelligence" spoken
Resolved
YESSam Altman appears on screen
Resolved
YESGPT-5 announced
Resolved
YESGoogle is mentioned
Resolved
YESGPT-5 mini announced
Resolved
YESGPT-5 nano announced
Resolved
YESGPT-5 announced within one minute of livestream starting
Resolved
YESGPT-5 announced within five minutes of livestream starting
Resolved
YESGPT-5 announced within ten minutes of livestream starting
Resolved
YESStream lasts longer than an hour
https://www.youtube.com/live/0Uu_VJeVVfo?si=Fmz4yC-yCWs08N4a
Update 2025-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will defer to @evan for the final judgment on resolution decisions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Sort by:
@jim https://x.com/BethMayBarnes/status/1953504663531388985?t=vspzIV5Zt0FIpr9Ggl4QgA&s=19
Got Bernoulli's principle wrong
@jim I believe this should resolve YES. Unfortunately I got a little mixed up between tabs (an earlier attempt to use it in the playground was rejcted), but I'm pretty confident that I had the playground open with GPT-5 before the livestream had ended.
sold Ṁ51 NO
@jim Sounds good. At bare minimum I had it open in a third playground tab I think within 30 or so seconds after the end of the stream.