GPT-5 Livestream Mega-Market
53
2.6kṀ29k
Aug 8
81%
GPT-5 taking longer than initially expected is acknowledged
25%
GPT-5 makes a mistake during a demonstration
Resolved
YES
GPT-5 begins rolling out during the stream
Resolved
YES
The words "AGI" or "artificial general intelligence" spoken
Resolved
YES
Sam Altman appears on screen
Resolved
YES
GPT-5 announced
Resolved
YES
Google is mentioned
Resolved
YES
GPT-5 mini announced
Resolved
YES
GPT-5 nano announced
Resolved
YES
GPT-5 announced within one minute of livestream starting
Resolved
YES
GPT-5 announced within five minutes of livestream starting
Resolved
YES
GPT-5 announced within ten minutes of livestream starting
Resolved
YES
Stream lasts longer than an hour

https://www.youtube.com/live/0Uu_VJeVVfo?si=Fmz4yC-yCWs08N4a

  • Update 2025-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will defer to @evan for the final judgment on resolution decisions.

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@evan any candidates?

bought Ṁ20 YES

@jim I believe this should resolve YES. Unfortunately I got a little mixed up between tabs (an earlier attempt to use it in the playground was rejcted), but I'm pretty confident that I had the playground open with GPT-5 before the livestream had ended.

@SimonWestlake I'll ask around a bit to see if I can get this corroborated

sold Ṁ51 NO

@jim Sounds good. At bare minimum I had it open in a third playground tab I think within 30 or so seconds after the end of the stream.

bought Ṁ336 YES

@SimonWestlake multiple people confirmed 😃

Resolves NO

@jim anyone have evidence for this?

I think it should resolve to yes. "Thank you for your patience waiting for GPT-5" (at about 34:30)

@DanielJohnston I can see this going either way. I will leave it to the judgement of @evan

@DanielJohnston I agree that it should count

@DanielJohnston might be my autism but this seems implicit rather than explicit

@Bayesian They def showed some gpt-5 pro scores, they just haven't highlighted it

bought Ṁ5 NO

@ian does that count?

@hruss I'll let Bayesian decide

bought Ṁ100 YES

@jim Google Calendar integration mentioned

Does Altman’s shoes count as a mention of google (red, yellow, blue, and green colors with the same shade as google’s design)

bought Ṁ150 NO

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