Manifold's predictions sometimes go wrong when we get an influx of biased, one-time forecasters. Will this happen when Donald Trump posts a link to Manifold?

Related market:

https://manifold.markets/jgyou/will-donald-trump-post-a-screenshot

Fineprints:

• This resolves N/A if Donald Trump never posts a link to Manifold.

• I'm referring to the official presidential election market, 2024 US Presidential Election.

• Any official account on any platform (Instagram, Truth, X, etc.) counts.

• Any swing of more than 10% in Trump's chances counts. (Exactly 10% is excluded.)