Refer to https://manifold.markets/JZB/identity-of-march-2-2025-crypto-lon for background discussion. (Credit to JZB for the resolution criteria which I leaned on for this market!) (Note that that market runs for 1 year, while this market runs for 2 years.)
This market will resolve to the real-world identity (name of individual or organization) behind the wallet address that made the $200 million leveraged bet on March 2, 2025, if the identity is publicly and credibly revealed within two years of the trade (by March 2, 2027).
TODO: I am still considering how to resolve edge cases where there are multiple individuals behind the wallet address.
The market will resolve as "[not known by March 2, 2027]" if:
Only the wallet address or pseudonym remains known without confirmation of the real-world identity
The identity remains speculative or unconfirmed by credible sources
No definitive identification is made by March 2, 2027
Duplicate answers will be disqualified. Though I don't expect to, I may disqualify other answers if I deem it necessary/appropriate.