Will the ACX post "Hypergamy: Much More Than You Wanted To Know" get more than 200 likes?

9

resolved Jun 1

Resolved

NO1D

1W

1M

ALL

# 🏅 Top traders

# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|

1 | Ṁ26 | |

2 | Ṁ10 | |

3 | Ṁ7 | |

4 | Ṁ5 | |

5 | Ṁ2 |

## Related markets

In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will anyone who filled out all questions get into the top 5% of entrants?84%

In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will the average response among all entrants be within the top 10% of entrants if scored as an entrant itself?37%

If Scott Alexander asks ACXers in 2030 to estimate what percent of people they follow on Twitter are secretly chatbots, will the median answer will be 1% or less?19%

If Scott Alexander asks ACXers in 2030 to estimate what percent of people they follow on Twitter are secretly chatbots, will the median answer will be 5% or less?70%

If I set up a Twitter account that posts a Magic: The Gathering rules question every day, will it have at least 200 followers a month later?72%

Will the mean answers get a better Brier score than the median answers of Blind Mode participants in the ACX 2023 prediction contest?51%

Will the number of ArXiv papers (min. 100 likes) posted on Twitter decline >50% in the next year?22%

Will a Facebook and Instagram have more than 250,000 paid verifications 3 months after launching?82%

Conditional on Tower producing a qualifying magazine, will a poll of ACX readers show that most of them find it to be of equal or greater quality to Asterisk Magazine on usefulness?20%

Conditional on Tower producing a qualifying magazine, will a poll of ACX readers show that most of them find it to be of equal or greater quality to Asterisk Magazine on production value/"slickness"?14%

## Related markets

In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will anyone who filled out all questions get into the top 5% of entrants?84%

In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will the average response among all entrants be within the top 10% of entrants if scored as an entrant itself?37%

If Scott Alexander asks ACXers in 2030 to estimate what percent of people they follow on Twitter are secretly chatbots, will the median answer will be 1% or less?19%

If Scott Alexander asks ACXers in 2030 to estimate what percent of people they follow on Twitter are secretly chatbots, will the median answer will be 5% or less?70%

If I set up a Twitter account that posts a Magic: The Gathering rules question every day, will it have at least 200 followers a month later?72%

Will the mean answers get a better Brier score than the median answers of Blind Mode participants in the ACX 2023 prediction contest?51%

Will the number of ArXiv papers (min. 100 likes) posted on Twitter decline >50% in the next year?22%

Will a Facebook and Instagram have more than 250,000 paid verifications 3 months after launching?82%

Conditional on Tower producing a qualifying magazine, will a poll of ACX readers show that most of them find it to be of equal or greater quality to Asterisk Magazine on usefulness?20%

Conditional on Tower producing a qualifying magazine, will a poll of ACX readers show that most of them find it to be of equal or greater quality to Asterisk Magazine on production value/"slickness"?14%