Will Nate Silver "Sell or license his 2024 election model to a third-party media company"?
Basic
7
Ṁ686Jan 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Sell or license the model to a third-party media company, potentially in conjunction with a contributor arrangement — if it could be done in a way that facilitated my independence and allowed me to do the other things I also want to do, including write Silver Bulletin.
His Odds: 3-1
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold think Nate Silver had a bad take before the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
50% chance
Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?
36% chance
Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?
2% chance
Will Nate Silver predict the election better than 538, according to a statistical analysis such as a Brier score?
90% chance
Will Nate Silver be involved in a major scandal in 2024?
16% chance
Will Nate Silver appear on the 538 Politics Podcast in 2024?
5% chance
Will Nate Silver join Bluesky before 2026?
84% chance