Is the 'to the board from former employees' letter real? I.e. was it actually written by former employees?
16
270Ṁ1087
resolved Jan 7
Resolved
N/A

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38369570

Resolves to consensus of trustworthy users if people disagree with my judgement otherwise my judgement

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
predictedNO

@traders Does anyone have any evidence on this? If not, I'll resolve N/A in two days.

predictedNO

I'm not sure if we have any innew fo on this, so I think this N/As because all we have are various speculations that often contradict

predictedNO

Did we ever get any more info here?

private account?

predictedYES

(no new info, but gwern thinking it's real is a bit of an update to me)

predictedNO

can you screenshot it, including date and time?

predictedYES

@jacksonpolack oh, yeah I didn't realize. Not sure if he's ok with me screenshotting it in that case, but this is non-identifiable part of it:

edit: nvm

predictedNO

ok that npew tweet is https://twitter.com/npew/status/1727111730571211261 which comes before achiam switched from acting as if its real to claiming its probably fake, so I'm (personally) at most at 50% right now

in terms of market resolution i'm going to wait and see if better evidence comes out

hm one of the openai people who initially replied to it as if it's real now claiming it's fake: https://twitter.com/jachiam0/status/1727195055587516426

okay i actually read it, this is not at all what fakes look like

@jacksonpolack No named sources, no new information, just vague negative associations? I'm not betting much on it, but there's nothing there that makes it seem especially real.

The messy and complicated allegations makes it seem real to me. It's simply not dramatic enough to be fabricated, especially when there are so many fantastic speculations abound. This is also quite consistent with what the board has said.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules