How confident will I be in a year, after Dr Will Powers' claims, that a majority of trans people have "MTHFR mutations"?
10
210Ṁ314resolved May 29
Resolved as
5%1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
see
He doesn't explicitly say a majority, but 50 is less than 98.
Currently I'm at ~2% - "98%" of patients having "positive MTHFR mutations"? What happened to complex human traits being very polygenic? >50%, let's say, at 5% right now.
(my question is pretty underspecified from a technical perspective, but so is Dr Powers' reddit post)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ22 | |
| 2 | Ṁ7 | |
| 3 | Ṁ6 | |
| 4 | Ṁ3 | |
| 5 | Ṁ3 |