Resolves YES if on the last ballot to elect the Speaker of the House by Friday January 6 11:59 pm ET, there are strictly more than 21 Republican votes not for McCarthy, including "present" votes. This count does not include Republicans who do not vote at all. Otherwise resolves NO.

For context, on the most recent ballots ballots 4 through 11 there were 21 anti-McCarthy Republican votes (including 1 "present" vote).

https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/06/politics/mccarthy-speaker-fight-friday/index.html

“We’re going to make progress today. We’re going to shock you,” McCarthy told reporters as he arrived on Capitol Hill Friday morning, adding, “We’re going to get it done.”

Resolves NO if no Speaker ballot occurs on Friday (since then by definition the last ballot before the deadline was the last Thursday ballot).