Will Russia control central Bakhmut before June 1?
73
1.4kṀ48k
resolved Apr 21
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if Russia takes control of the train station "Bakhmut 2" in Bakhmut, Ukraine, at any point in time before June 1, 2023 (Ukraine time), according to maps provided by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

If this area is shaded red on the ISW maps, the market will resolve YES. If this area remains shaded orange or not shaded for the entire time period, resolves NO. Resolution will be based on the ISW maps dated through May 31.

See https://manifold.markets/post/isw-ukraine-war-maps for context on how ISW maps are made, what they mean, and why ISW is a commonly considered a reliable map source.

(Other reliable media reporting may be used instead if for some reason ISW is unavailable.)

Resolution criteria based on https://insightprediction.com/m/169724/will-russia-take-bakhmut-by-april-20th-2023

Related:

(Just making the title more descriptive, no change to the question itself): Will Russia control Bakhmut before June 1? → Will Russia control central Bakhmut before June 1?

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