Will most of the US population have gotten Covid by the end of 2022?
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Ṁ851resolved Apr 27
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Resolves yes if >50% of the US population are estimated to have had an infection with Covid according to seroprevalence data at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#national-lab. (For reference, the current estimate is 31% for October 2021.) This will resolve a few months into 2023 when the data for December 2022 is available.
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Resolves YES. The most recent estimate from https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#national-lab has 57% (186m) estimated infections (data from Feb). This is up from 43% a month earlier.
See also https://www.npr.org/2022/04/26/1094817774/covid-19-infections-us-most-americans.
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