Will Manifold add multiple choice with unlinked answers by end of August?
Basic
25
Ṁ13k
resolved Sep 5
Resolved
NO

Currently the answers in a multiple choice question are mutually exclusive, they must sum to 100%. There are many questions where I'd like to have them either sum to a different number (e.g. "Which movies will be nominated for Oscars Best Picture" where 10 answers will be selected) or not be forced to sum to a specific number at all (e.g. "Will Starship next launch before <August/September/October/November>?" or "Which countries will join NATO this year?"). Resolves YES if the latter is supported by end of August (even if it is later removed). It must be supported in the Manifold interface for regular users (API support alone does not count, admin-only support does not count).

This is one of the features that Manifold has said they plan for multiple choice:

  • Adding new answers

  • Sell button

  • An option for independent answers (that don't sum to 100%)

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predicted NO

@jack This can be resolved now.

Looking at the market creation screen now, there's no option for unlinked answers.

No forced sum is just a bunch of Y/N markets combined into one, which you can already kind of do with portfolios/embeds.

predicted NO

i was about to poo poo what you said but then realized they've changed how grid embeds look, this is not to bad now. but where would you post this comment? market description i guess. unlinked multi choice is still more compact and nicer

now if only the search when embedding these wouldn't be such a pain...

predicted YES

Yes, it is literally just a grouping of yes/no markets. Note that they would share a description and comment threads - so you don't have to copy the resolution criteria and don't have to worry about them getting out of sync.

Making grid embeds is a massive headache. You can't edit them to add/remove/change markets, copy/pasting them sometimes works and sometimes doesn't.

I made a market for the former case:

I made one here: Test market | Manifold

Notice they all are 50% and don't sum to 100%.

Doesn't count since it was before this market's creation, though.

predicted YES

@Mira How exactly did you make it?

predicted YES

Oh, I see where it was in the API. I should have clarified that, it has to be supported through the manifold UI.

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