Will BTC be worth at least $1m USD before June 17? (As predicted by Balaji on USD hyperinflation within 90 days)
0.7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at any point before June 17 (UTC time), BTC is worth at least $1m USD according to https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/. Otherwise NO.
If https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/ is not available or up-to-date, another data source may be used.
Context:
(Note: this bet is a terrible bet in financial terms even if he thinks BTC will go up to $1m, because instead of taking this bet he could just buy $1m of BTC today and it would be worth 40x as much if he was right. Perhaps it's a good bet as a Twitter stunt though.)
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Brian T. Edwards
Balaji is an entertaining bullshitter, but this bet shows clearly he isn't very smart.
Jackbought Ṁ1,000 of NO
This market is currently offering 100 to 1 odds, much more attractive than Balaji's 40:1!
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YES payouts
Ṁ2,510
Ṁ1,590
Ṁ1,315
Ṁ1,105
Ṁ1,026
Ṁ1,003
Ṁ516
Ṁ495
Ṁ465
NO payouts
Ṁ6,051
Ṁ5,090
Ṁ246
Ṁ112
Ṁ102
Ṁ101
Ṁ101
Ṁ62
Ṁ25
Ṁ13
Ṁ10
Ṁ10
Ṁ10
Ṁ10
Ṁ5
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