Will Biden remain President through end of July 2024?
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Ṁ50kresolved Aug 2
Resolved
YES1D
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Resolves YES if Biden remains US President through the end of July 2024 (ET); resolves NO if he resigns, dies, or otherwise ceases to be President before then.
Temporary transfer of power under the 25th amendement (i.e. making his VP the Acting President) does not cause a YES resolution. (Acting President is different from President under the Constitution)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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opened a Ṁ1,250 YES at 70% order
Temporary transfer of power under the 25th amendement (i.e. making his VP the Acting President) does not cause a YES resolution.
It’s helpful to know that this would not be sufficient to resolve YES
In my opinion this is the most likely scenario for this market to resolve NO
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