After the interview airs, I will ask Claude which one Biden did better on based on the transcripts, using the prompt below. If that doesn't work (any refusal or no clear answer), I'll try other prompts and/or asking ChatGPT or Gemini. Resolves YES if it says Biden did better on the ABC interview, NO if it says Biden did better in the debate.

Claude prompt (Claude 3.5 Sonnet)

In which of the two attached transcripts did Biden do better?

Both transcripts will be added as attachments.

I will not bet on this market.