
Will at least 3 of the top 4 US banks collapse at least 90% before June 1? (AKA will the US banking system collapse?)
9
190Ṁ11kresolved Jun 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if before June, at least 3 of the 4 largest US banks (JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo) experience any of the following:
The bank's stock price closes on any day at least 90% down year-to-date (i.e. at least 90% lower compared to the opening price on the first trading day of 2023)
The bank's stock is delisted on the NYSE or halted for at least 1 month (see https://www.nyse.com/trade-halt-current). The halt only has to begin before June.
The bank is closed and placed into FDIC receivership, as per https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/
Note: acquisition of a bank would mean the stock is delisted once the acquisition closes, and therefore count by the above criteria.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ27 | |
2 | Ṁ21 | |
3 | Ṁ19 | |
4 | Ṁ1 | |
5 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2025?
13% chance
Will 4 or more US banks fail in 2025?
41% chance
Will 3 or more US banks fail in 2025?
51% chance
Will 2 or more US banks fail in 2025?
56% chance
Will 6 or more US banks fail in 2025?
25% chance
Will 10 or more US banks fail in 2025?
10% chance
Will 5 or more US banks fail in 2025?
32% chance
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2025?
15% chance
Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2025?
19% chance