When will Trump be indicted on the Jan 6 investigation?
17
166
725
resolved Aug 1
100%99.1%
August 2023
0.5%
July 2023
0.1%
September 2023
0.1%
October 2023
0.0%
November 2023
0.0%
December 2023
0.1%
January-June 2024
0.1%
July-December 2024
0.1%
Not indicted by end of 2024

If Donald Trump is criminally indicted by federal prosecutors in relation to the Jan 6 investigation, currently led by special counsel Jack Smith, resolves to the date he is indicted. If he is not indicted by the end of 2024, resolves to that.

Context: https://www.politico.com/interactives/2023/trump-criminal-investigations-cases-tracker-list/

  • This question will use Eastern Time.

  • For this question, the time of indictment is when the grand jury votes to indict.

  • If it is unknown which timeframe the grand jury vote to indict took place in, then we will instead treat the time of indictment as the earliest time it is unsealed, officially announced, or reported by reliable media publications.

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