Permanent Stock stock [1 week]
Permanent Stock stock [1 week]
3
110Ṁ35resolved Feb 21
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In 1 week, I will post a poll here that asks whether you like Permanent Stocks. This market resolves to the percentage of people who vote YES on the poll.
Inspired by https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/stock-stock-permanent
The goal is for you to use it to express your own opinions and/or turn a profit by predicting other people's opinions. Bet YES if you're in favor of the subject of the market or believe other people will come to have a more favorable opinion of it in the future, bet NO if you view the subject of the market unfavorably or believe others will come to view it as such.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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