Elon Musk said he is seeking to terminate the deal, Twitter has sued to enforce the deal. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/12/technology/twitter-lawsuit-musk-acquisition.html
If Twitter and Elon Musk settle their lawsuit over the deal, will the deal for Musk to buy Twitter close by the end of 2023?
Resolves YES if they settle the lawsuit out of court, and Musk closes the deal to buy Twitter by the end of 2023. Resolves NO if they settle the lawsuit, and Musk does not buy Twitter by the end of 2023 (for example, if the settlement terminates the deal with a breakup fee, or if in the settlement they agree to close the deal but it doesn't end up closing for whatever reason). Resolves N/A if they do not settle the lawsuit.
Resolution details:
Whether they settle the lawsuit will be judged by the same criteria as https://manifold.markets/jack/will-twitter-and-elon-musk-settle-a.
Resolves when either the deal closes, or Musk and Twitter reach an agreement to terminate the deal, or 2023 ends.
Close date updated to 2022-10-27 9:18 pm
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The resolution of this depends on the ambiguity being discussed in https://manifold.markets/jack/will-twitter-and-elon-musk-settle-a about whether this counts as "settling their lawsuit".
If that resolves YES, this resolves YES. If that resolves NO, this resolves N/A.
If you have thoughts on this, please chime in on the other market. In the meantime, I have closed this market.