Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2023?
82
523
1.3K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if confirmed that Robin Hanson created a market on Manifold by end of the 2023.

related:


Close date updated to 2023-12-31 11:59 pm

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predicted NO

What is this banner?

Is that what some image model thinks that Robin Hanson looks like?

predicted NO

@EliTyre This is Robin Hanson. It's a holiday picture of his visit at Mount Etna last year.

bought Ṁ70 of YES

This market is at 50% while the Nate Silver market is at 80%. That feels wrong to me. Both are on the manifest guest list and prediction markets feel more tied to Hanson's specific niche.

predicted YES

@BoltonBailey good point

bought Ṁ101 of YES

Isn't he coming to Manifest?

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