If anything, support and trust in Russian President Vladimir Putin has increased since the war in Ukraine started at the end of February 2022.

According to the independent Levada Center polling agency, 81% of Russians surveyed in December 2022 said they approve of Putin’s actions as president.

This market will resolve to YES, if in any month of 2023, survey indicates Putin's approval rating lower than 75%.

resolution: Levada Center, https://www.levada.ru/en/ratings/