Will Pope Francis (Jorge M. Bergoglio) still be Pope on Dec 31, 2024?
Basic
87
Ṁ17k
Dec 31
85%
chance

This market will resolve to "YES", if Jorge M. Bergoglio is still head of Catholic Church as Pope Francis on December 31, 2024.

If for any reason Pope Francis leaves the Vatican throne by the end of 2024, this will resolve to "NO".

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bought Ṁ50 NO

He's looking pretty rough as of today.

@FrederickNorris yeah, I bought NO when I found out he was so often sick and had just one lung. Also, Milei called him a communist, so I am hoping for a better Pope.

predicts NO

If he becomes Pope emeritus leaving the papacy for someone else (like Benedictus did) does this still resolve YES

@egroj no, it would resolve NO

@kolotom99 so practically only reason for YES is that he dies

@egroj no, YES is is he is still acting Pope.
NO, if he resign, dies, etc.