Will Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?
27
2.0k
2070
21%
chance

This will resolve to YES when Gavin Newsom becomes President of the USA.
This will resolve to NO when it is no longer technically possible

Get Ṁ600 play money
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bought Ṁ93 NO
predicts YES

“If Trump wasn’t running, I’m not sure I’d be running,” [Biden] told donors at the Weston, Mass.

Why is this so high? Shouldn't the prior or anyone except Trump or Biden being president be really low? Especially given that the presidency is likely to stop existing in its current state after AGI, so there are only a few left to happen.

bought Ṁ300 NO from 33% to 17%
bought Ṁ10 YES from 23% to 24%

He definitely seems to be getting ready for something, eh.

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