Will Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?
2024 US Presidential Election•United States•Future US Presidents
26
192
Ṁ450
2070
21%
chance

This will resolve to YES when Gavin Newsom becomes President of the USA.
This will resolve to NO when it is no longer technically possible

Get Ṁ200 play money

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4 Comments
23 Holders
64 Trades
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bought Ṁ93 NO

https://reason.com/2024/02/28/why-is-panera-exempted-from-californias-new-minimum-wage-law/
It seems like this sort of thing hurts his chances.

predicts YES

“If Trump wasn’t running, I’m not sure I’d be running,” [Biden] told donors at the Weston, Mass.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

Why is this so high? Shouldn't the prior or anyone except Trump or Biden being president be really low? Especially given that the presidency is likely to stop existing in its current state after AGI, so there are only a few left to happen.

bought Ṁ300 NO from 33% to 17%
bought Ṁ10 YES from 23% to 24%
bought Ṁ10 of NO

He definitely seems to be getting ready for something, eh.

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