Will Bitcoin or Crypto benefit more during Trump's presidency?
6
1kṀ18852029
Bitcoin53%
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In other words, this question asks whether during Trump's term, Bitcoin grows in relation to all other crypto as defined by Coingecko's Bitcoin Dominance.
At the Trump's Inauguration Day, Bitcoin dominance was at 57,4%.
https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/bitcoin-dominance/
This market will resolve to BITCOIN, if on the last day of Trump's presidency in this term, Bitcoin Dominance will be 58% or more
To CRYPTO, if it will be 57% or less, and to 50/50 if it will be between 57-58%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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