Will Bitcoin (BTC/USD) weekly candle be positive on the launch day of Artemis I?
Will Bitcoin (BTC/USD) weekly candle be positive on the launch day of Artemis I?
16
299Ṁ3009resolved Nov 17
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve on the day when SLS is launched in its first Artemis I attempt.
On this day, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) close price from Coingecko will be taken and compared to the Bitcoin close price 7 days earlier. If the latter (launch-day) price is higher than it was a week before, this market will resolve to "YES".
Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO".
The resolution day will be the day, when the first SLS rocket of the Artemis I mission is launched and detached from the ground, regardless of whether latter stages are successful.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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SLS launched on November 16 local time when the BTC close price was $16,689; seven days earlier, on November 9, the close price was $15,742.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.