Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023?
122
603
2.2K
resolved Feb 2
Resolved
NO

'Avatar: The Way of Water' (2022) is an upcoming American action adventure fantasy sci-fi film produced by 20th Century Studios. It is the second installment of the Avatar film series directed by James Cameron. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on December 16, 2022.

real money market: https://polymarket.com/market/will-avatar-the-way-of-water-gross-more-than-650-million-domestically-by-january-31-2023


This is a market on how much 'Avatar: The Way of Water' will gross domestically by January 31, 2023 (inclusive). The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3372254721/ will be used to resolve this market, specifically the "To Date" column.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Avatar: The Way of Water' grosses more than $650,000,000 domestically by January 31, 2023.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If any finalized numbers in the "To Date" column (for dates January 31, 2023 and before) show a value of more than $650 million, this market will resolve immediately to "Yes."

This market may only resolve to "No" once the January 31, 2023 "To Date" number is finalized, or if Jan 31, 2023 date is not available, the nearest previous date with available data.

Close date updated to 2023-02-01 11:59 pm

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predicted NO

only got to 623M?

predicted NO

@Tripping "only" ha ha

predicted NO

@itsTomekK time to resolve?

@sophiawisdom We don't have data on the 31st January yet.

bought Ṁ300 of NO

@Bot oh didn't see the "inclusive"

predicted NO

@sophiawisdom I'm bout to buy 22 million dollars of tickets to make a killing in this market.

@HoraceHe you can make a lot more on polymarket

predicted NO

@Bot Funnily enough, it's not that much more. There's almost no orders on Polymarket so I can only make 460$ total. OTOH I can make 23k mana in this market, which translates to 230$. So only about double :P

predicted NO

OTOH, both this market and polymarket were overpriced for a long time, so I probably could have made a decent chunk of change on polymarket if I wasn't American.

bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

seems unlikely it will gross $30m over the next few days

bought Ṁ47 of NO

This has a massive gap between here and polymarket. If you think the odds here are too low, you can go make real money. :) https://polymarket.com/event/will-avatar-the-way-of-water-gross-more-than-650-million-domestically-by-january-31-2023

predicted NO
predicted NO

There isn't lots of trading on polymarket, but I would still expect it to be more calibrated than manifold

predicted NO

Could this reopen please?

bought Ṁ150 of YES

@NeonNuke Thanks