Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023?

'Avatar: The Way of Water' (2022) is an upcoming American action adventure fantasy sci-fi film produced by 20th Century Studios. It is the second installment of the Avatar film series directed by James Cameron. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on December 16, 2022.

real money market: https://polymarket.com/market/will-avatar-the-way-of-water-gross-more-than-650-million-domestically-by-january-31-2023

This is a market on how much 'Avatar: The Way of Water' will gross domestically by January 31, 2023 (inclusive). The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3372254721/ will be used to resolve this market, specifically the "To Date" column.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Avatar: The Way of Water' grosses more than $650,000,000 domestically by January 31, 2023.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If any finalized numbers in the "To Date" column (for dates January 31, 2023 and before) show a value of more than $650 million, this market will resolve immediately to "Yes."

This market may only resolve to "No" once the January 31, 2023 "To Date" number is finalized, or if Jan 31, 2023 date is not available, the nearest previous date with available data.

Close date updated to 2023-02-01 11:59 pm

Sort by:
sophiawisdom avatar
sophia wisdom
bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

seems unlikely it will gross $30m over the next few days

JoshuaAnderson avatar
Joshua Anderson
bought Ṁ47 of NO

This has a massive gap between here and polymarket. If you think the odds here are too low, you can go make real money. :) https://polymarket.com/event/will-avatar-the-way-of-water-gross-more-than-650-million-domestically-by-january-31-2023

itsTomekK avatar
Tomek K 🟡
is predicting NO at 61%
NoaNabeshima avatar
Noa Nabeshima
is predicting NO at 59%

There isn't lots of trading on polymarket, but I would still expect it to be more calibrated than manifold

NeonNuke avatar
Neon Nuke
is predicting NO at 15%

Could this reopen please?

NeonNuke avatar
Neon Nuke
bought Ṁ150 of YES

@NeonNuke Thanks