War in Ukraine: Will Russia lose 200,000 troops by the end of 2023? | Manifold Markets

closes Dec 31

Ukraine Ukraine-Russia war Russia

War in Ukraine: Will Russia lose 200,000 troops by the end of 2023?

79%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Ukraine's Armed Forces estimate Russia's losses daily, which is published by Kyiv Independent.

This market will resolve based on these estimations as of January 1, 2024 - or the nearest available date.

https://www.instagram.com/kyivindependent_official/

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Tomek K 🟡is predicting NO at 72%

Tomek K 🟡bought Ṁ10 of NO

Ivan created limit order for Ṁ50 YES at 70%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ14 NO at 79% (cancelled)

Ivan bought Ṁ100 YES from 76% to 80%

Ivan created limit order for Ṁ15 NO at 95%

Ivan created limit order for Ṁ200 YES at 65%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 76% (cancelled)

Ivan bought Ṁ100 YES from 72% to 77%

crystal ball bought Ṁ10 YES from 71% to 72%

Jf P bought Ṁ10 YES at 71%

brp bought Ṁ10 YES from 70% to 71%

Max Payne bought Ṁ10 YES from 69% to 70%

crystal ball bought Ṁ10 YES from 68% to 69%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 YES at 68% (cancelled)

Matt C. Wilson bought Ṁ20 NO from 71% to 67%

PA bought Ṁ15 YES from 70% to 71%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ11/Ṁ100 YES at 70% (cancelled)

Elspeth sold Ṁ52 YES from 74% to 69%

Adrian Arty bought Ṁ10 YES from 73% to 74%

Tomek K 🟡 sold Ṁ10 NO from 70% to 73%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 NO at 70% (cancelled)

Elspeth bought Ṁ50 YES from 65% to 71%

Jake bought Ṁ10 NO from 68% to 65%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 YES at 68% (cancelled)

Komet T bought Ṁ10 NO from 69% to 66%

Komet T bought Ṁ10 NO from 72% to 69%

Tomek K 🟡 bought Ṁ10 NO from 76% to 72%

Zjjj Zkkk sold Ṁ7 YES from 77% to 76%

Beep Bop sold Ṁ7 YES from 78% to 77%

Teeny Tiny sold Ṁ8 YES from 79% to 78%

Beep Bop bought Ṁ8 YES from 78% to 79%

Zjjj Zkkk bought Ṁ8 YES from 77% to 78%

Teeny Tiny bought Ṁ8 YES from 76% to 77%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ51/Ṁ100 YES at 76% (cancelled)

David Davidson bought Ṁ102 YES from 51% to 75%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 NO at 51% (cancelled)

N bought Ṁ10 YES from 47% to 53%

Cornelius Grass bought Ṁ10 YES from 41% to 47%

Ivan filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ25 NO at 75%

Ivan created limit order for Ṁ30 YES at 30%

Ivan created limit order for Ṁ100 YES at 25%

Ivan created limit order for Ṁ80 NO at 80% (cancelled)

Tomek K 🟡 bought Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 41%

Tomek K 🟡 bought Ṁ10 NO from 59% to 48%

Franklin Baldo bought Ṁ10 YES from 50% to 59%